Tuesday, June 30, 2015

The Curious Case of Puerto Rico, And Why Default Poses A Risk To The U.S.

WASHINGTON -- U.S. lawmakers have no firm plan to help more than 3 million American citizens living 1,000 miles off the coast of Florida under a government staring down the barrel of a $73 billion debt crisis.

Those U.S. citizens live in the territory of Puerto Rico. Thousands of them are fleeing each month to the U.S. mainland in the search of economic opportunity, compounding the island’s financial crisis.

Puerto Rican Gov. Alejandro Garcia Padilla put it bluntly on Sunday, admitting that the island’s “debt is not payable.” Garcia Padilla told The New York Times in an interview that if the government cannot get the economy to grow, Puerto Rico “will be in a death spiral.”

Garcia Padilla’s comments come days before Puerto Rico’s government-run electric utility, known as PREPA, must make a $400 million debt payment. The island’s debt, owed to a complex array of creditors, amounts to more municipal bond debt per capita than any American state. PREPA’s payment is just one of many due in the coming months.

For residents, the financial troubles mean higher energy bills, a crumbling infrastructure, and a middle class that is fleeing in droves.

If the impact on Puerto Rico’s citizenry isn’t enough to spur action by the U.S. government, or by the Wall Street hedge funds that hold a significant stake in the island’s debt, maybe the potential effect of a default on mainland Americans will do the trick.

A default by Puerto Rico would roil the municipal bond market -- typically a low-risk arena -- leaving retirement funds, pensions and institutional investors "massively exposed," explained Dante Disparte, founder of the capital management firm Risk Cooperative.

“A $73 billion write-off has a potential to bring down many more aspects of the economy than we might let on, because we are trying to treat it like it’s isolated and that it’s an island, but it’s a dollar-denominated economy. It's part of the U.S., and the firms to whom that debt is owed may very well be the firms managing our grandparents' pensions and our own retirement plans,” Disparte said.

In Puerto Rico, “what it produces is a tragedy of the commons," Disparte, who was born and raised on the island, said in an interview. Every time he visits, Disparte said he sees the effects -- an increasing number of vacant properties.

“When you are playing with things this large and this systemic, you need kid gloves and delicacy and order -- not, ‘It doesn’t matter to me. Let’s just let Puerto Rico fall off the cliff,’” Disparte added.

The White House says it's doing all it can to help the island, despite months of remaining relatively mum.

In April, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew called on Puerto Rican leaders to develop a “credible” budget for 2016 and a long-term plan to reduce debt.

On Monday, after news circulated that Puerto Rico would not have the money to meet the July 1 payment deadline, White House spokesman Josh Earnest played up the administration’s commitment to helping.

"There's no one in the administration or in D.C. that's contemplating a federal bailout of Puerto Rico,” Earnest said. “But we do remain committed to working with Puerto Rico and their leaders as they address the serious financial challenges that are currently plaguing the commonwealth of Puerto Rico.”

Pressed on possible further action, Earnest cited an interagency task force the administration launched in 2013 to offer expertise to the island’s leaders. Earnest acknowledged Puerto Rico’s inability to restructure its public debt under bankruptcy, as municipalities in the mainland are allowed to do.

“So there are strong merits to having an orderly mechanism for Puerto Rico to manage the financial challenges of its public corporation if needed and so we’ve urged Congress to take a close look at this particular issue,” Earnest said, hinting at possible White House support for expanding Chapter 9 bankruptcy to Puerto Rico. “Essentially this means that a Chapter 9 scenario that would be available to all the 50 states is not one that is currently to Puerto Rico, and that is something only Congress can change.”

Garcia Padilla remained steadfast in a recorded address broadcast Monday evening, outlining a plan that would allow the island to avoid “choosing to pay police officers and school teachers” or “our debt.” While preaching shared sacrifice, Garcia Padilla made an impassioned pitch for Washington lawmakers to “take concrete action in this crisis. Concrete action now. Action to approve much needed changes to Chapter 9 of the bankruptcy code so that Puerto Rico qualifies for the same protections available to other cities or states.”

But Congress is nowhere near moving legislation that would grant Puerto Rico the same bankruptcy protection that Detroit used in 2013.

House Judiciary Committee Chairman Bob Goodlatte (R-Va.) has said allowing Puerto Rico to use bankruptcy may have large economic consequences and deserves close examination. A committee aide said Goodlatte and other members travelled to Puerto Rico this month to meet with local officials and stakeholders. The committee hasn't met on the issue since February.

Former Puerto Rican Gov. Anibal Acevedo Vila said the U.S. government has a responsibility to help Puerto Rico.

Acevedo Vila has long defended commonwealth status for Puerto Rico, but has recently argued that the official U.S. position since the 1990s has been to treat the island as a territory.

“My argument is look, you have a political responsibility, you have a social responsibility, you have a moral responsibility, but at the end of the day, you might even have a legal responsibility," Acevedo Vila said in an interview with The Huffington Post this month. "Because if the official position is that we are still a territory, and the day comes and we default -- and I’m not arguing that we should default -- I’m saying that that day might come soon, and if that day comes, bondholders are going to sue the government of Puerto Rico for sure, but they might sue the U.S. government.”

He added: “I’m not using this argument to threaten the U.S. government. It’s just to create more conscious[ness] that this is also a U.S. government problem, and not just the problem of the people of Puerto Rico, and we all have to sit down and find a solution to this crisis.”

Acevedo Vila’s prediction of a default triggering lawsuits is not farfetched. Matt Faber, of Municipal Market Analytics, said things will get more complex and “decidedly uglier” should the island default.

Lawsuits already are scattered across the debt landscape. PREPA bondholders, including Franklin Templeton and Oppenheimer funds, sued Puerto Rico in 2014 after the island passed legislation granting the commonwealth the ability to restructure its debt and file bankruptcy. The measure ultimately was struck down in court and is currently on appeal.

“There are lawsuits here that would happen almost immediately between bondholders and PREPA, between one group of bondholders and other bondholders, and between bondholders and their brokers-slash-dealers, or whoever bought the bonds for them," Farber said. "So there’s a potential for lawsuits going all kinds of ways. And then because it’s a utility, there’s a potential for court intervention, because bondholders may sue to impose a receiver who would take effective control away from PREPA’s current manager and put it in the hands of someone appointed by the court.”

While the storm gathered, analysts like Faber don't see an easy solution.

“The status quo has a lot of uncertainty,” Faber said. “It’s hard to see anything different, because it’s hard to see Congress passing a law to impair bondholders in a similar way that the president did with GM bondholders.”

In the General Motors bailout, the Obama administration led expansive restructuring, enticing a majority of bondholders to agree to swap GM bonds for a stake in a government-financed iteration of the company paying much lower returns.

“They would really need an act of Congress to do much to do really anything that’s meaningful," Faber said. “When you have the Republicans who are in charge of Congress are extreme anti-bailout ... there’s almost no chance.”


Monday, June 29, 2015

A Day In Line At Greece's ATMs

ATHENS -- National Bank of Greece, Formionos street branch, around 1:30 in the afternoon. Nearly 25 people are in line waiting their turn at the ATM. Some are worried that the machine will run out of money and want to reach it before that happens. People offer financial analysis to strangers. Comments are interspersed with personal experiences, socio-political criticism, patriotic and European ideals.

A gentleman next to me looks calmer than the average person in line. I ask him for an anonymous comment.

"I was supposed to come either way," he says. "Every week on this day I come here to withdraw my mother's pension because she's not familiar with ATMs."

"So, you are not withdrawing money out of fear?" I ask him.

"No, I'm not afraid of anything. And of all versions available, I prefer the one with the referendum and 'no.'"

Line at ATM, National Bank of Greece, Formionos street branch

A lady comments on the position of the Greek government and its leader, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, who has called a referendum for next Sunday on a bailout proposed by the country's international creditors. "Tsipras will win," she says. "Both at the referendum and the elections, whenever they will be."

I ask her if she, too, is withdrawing money driven by the uncertainty of developments. Her response is negative, with a keen nod of disapproval.

I wonder if this accumulation of customers might be random, though unusual. On the other hand, why should it be considered morally reprehensible or hypocritical if a person is anxious about their savings and tries to protect them, whatever his or her political view?

At the Eftichidou street branch, where most of the people are not interested in speaking with a journalist, one middle-aged man agrees to talk to me.

"Europeans are trying to terrorize us. I was living in Germany, they are advanced, I give them that, but now they just want to subjugate us. Schäuble does not accept an honest, democratic agreement," he says, referring to German finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble. "He is so zealous against us, I think, that his plan is to overturn the first left-wing government, the left wing is their enemy," he adds.

A lady next to him, who was listening to the conversation, suddenly bursts out: "They don't want to see Tsipras and Kamenos. Because they don't do whatever they tell them."

The man continues: "Let them kick us out. The European south, Italy, Spain, they will follow. Let us form a union with them. Greece has a lot of advantages: geopolitical, agricultural, in tourism, in shipping. In the prospect of the drachma, the first couple of years will be difficult. After that we will recover. And Europeans will want to take us back. We had the drachma before and everything was all right."

"He's very optimistic, that one," I hear two girls whispering.

Across the street, under a shadow, a group of DIAS motorcycle police is watching the queue. "We have orders to supervise ATMs and supermarkets," they tell me.

At the Piraeus Bank branch at Pangrati Square there is no line; across the street, the Eurobank ATM must be serving tens of people. A young man, around 30, angrily addresses the few clients of Piraeus Bank: "Withdraw everything and next Sunday vote for 'no.'"

No one replies. He laughs to himself.

"I would have withdrawn money today, anyway," he tells me. "Now I will withdraw more to be safe for the next few days. I am certain that ATMs will run out of money -- it has already happened at some places."

"What do you think about the decision to have a referendum?" I ask.

"I am completely against the idea. It's a backlash because they do not have the political will to make the necessary decisions. They never had it and that always made our situation worse."

I ask him if he is not contradicting himself.

"To me there is no dilemma. I am a working person, not privileged at all. But our only option is Europe. The motivation of the SYRIZA-ANEL government is the return to the drachma, and right now is the climax of an organized plan with that sole purpose. Some will return their capital to the country and buy us, like notables."

He plans to vote, "no matter the proposed agreement," he says.

Two young women walk away. They did not withdraw any money.

"I voted for Syriza, without being their follower before, hoping for better terms after the negotiations and reinstatement of a minimum wage," one says. "They did not negotiate anything all these past months, that's what I feel. They could have lowered those pensions that are still high and remained tenacious for the social solidarity benefit for pensioners. But I cannot stand them pretending to negotiate hard. And now, five months later, they throw the ball in our court, to decide on a financial issue without knowing all the evidence. Which exactly is the agreement?"

"Are you scared?" I ask her.

"Yes. I am scared of bankruptcy, of the ruthless devaluation of currency and the general isolation of the country once it exits the EU."

She is an accountant, like her friend, who adds: "In 1974, my mother emptied the supermarkets." That was the year Greece went from a military government to a democracy. "They didn't need anything. Nothing will happen now either."

This article originally appeared on HuffPost Greece and was translated into English.


Friday, June 26, 2015

Why Marriage Equality Is Great For The Economy

Thanks to marriage equality, this could be a big year for Sophie Pyle's company.

The founder of Tweet The Bride -- a service that posts live Instagram and Twitter updates during clients’ weddings -- expects the Supreme Court’s Friday decision legalizing same-sex marriage across the country to be a major boon for business.

“It just makes the wedding industry and the number of people getting married that much bigger,” Pyle told The Huffington Post on Friday morning. “There are that many more customers and weddings. I’m very excited about it.”

Pyle's year-old business is based in Virginia, which was one of 37 states (and Washington, D.C.) that recognized same-sex marriage prior to the Supreme Court's new ruling. Her clients don't always live or marry nearby, and she often travels to attend ceremonies in other places. She has worked only one same-sex wedding -- all the way in Denmark! -- but she expects more in the future.

Just married in Copenhagen! #hamiltondevoss

A photo posted by #HAMILTONDEVOSS (@hamiltondevoss) on

The #HamiltonDevoss wedding in February was the fist same-sex wedding Pyle worked at.

Aside from the obvious benefits to the wedding industry, marriage equality could have a positive impact on the economy overall.

In the first three years of nationwide marriage equality, spending on same-sex weddings could add $184.7 million in tax revenue and 13,058 jobs to states’ economies, according to a report from the UCLA School of Law’s Williams Institute. The U.S. economy could get a $2.6 billion boost over the next three years.

New York, which legalized same-sex marriage in 2011, has already benefited from same-sex weddings, as data-driven news site Vocativ points out. In the first year after New York passed its Marriage Equality Act, New York City alone received a $259 million economic boost as 8,200 marriage licenses were issued for same-sex weddings and more than 200,000 guests traveled in from out of town to attend the ceremonies.

For those in the industry who have already worked with gay couples, the value of same-sex marriages is apparent.

“Those who embraced it benefited from it,” Chris Jaeger, a wedding industry marketing consultant, told HuffPost. “It’s a real positive thing.”

He recalled struggling to convince one of his a clients, a wedding officiant in California, to preside over same-sex unions. But that was five years ago, when the legality of same-sex weddings in California was complicated.

Times have changed.

“She [has] embraced it,” Jaeger said of the officiant. “Now there are pictures of her doing ceremonies with men marrying men and women marrying women.”

In the 13 states that had not recognized marriage equality before the Supreme Court's new ruling, some business owners are just happy to finally have the opportunity to work with gay couples.

Jackie McGrath, owner of Sweet Treets bakery in Texas -- where, until Friday, gay marriage was banned -- said she was “ecstatic” to hear the news.

“We have a gay wedding this weekend. It wasn’t going to be official, but now it could be,” McGrath said, adding that she and her staff began working on a rainbow wedding cake on Friday, just after the ruling was announced. “We’ll probably give it out to customers to celebrate."

Jenny Che contributed to this report.


Thursday, June 25, 2015

Why Young People Are Scrambling To Work For The Same Few Companies

The improving economy doesn’t seem to be enough to push college students to broaden their horizons very much: For the last few years, young people have been setting their sights on the same few companies.

The most attractive companies to young people continue to be big names like Google, Apple, Goldman Sachs and IBM, according to a global survey of 240,000 business, engineering and IT students released Wednesday by employer branding firm Universum.

Among business students, Google ranked first, followed by PricewaterhouseCoopers, Ernst & Young, Goldman, KPMG and Deloitte. Apple, Microsoft, JP Morgan Chase and Procter & Gamble rounded out the top 10.

The results indicate that tech, banking and consulting industries are increasingly competing for the same pool of top students.

"They're absolutely going for the same talent," said Kortney Kutsop, senior account director at Universum. "What Google and Apple have that accounting and banking firms don't is a product. They have strong brand recognition. In accounting and banking, the people are their product."

Even the exhausting work culture of Wall Street (Goldman Sachs recently told its interns to stop working between midnight and 7 a.m.) and consulting doesn't seem to deter students. Banks and the Big Four -- Deloitte, PwC, EY and KPMG -- are still the "gold standard" for business students, said Kevin Troy, head of Universum's research and insights in the Americas.

"They have great training programs, they look great on your resume, and they're competitive and challenging," Troy said.

But these companies are losing appeal among students seeking more creative work, and the tech industry is snapping up the talent.

"Fifteen or 20 years ago, students wouldn't have said they were looking for a kooky environment where people stay up till midnight but get free meals," Troy said. "But Google came along and many other Silicon Valley companies adopted culture. We're in a different paradigm."

Some students, however, may not be as drawn to the tech industry's relaxed hierarchy.

"Where the consulting and banking firms have an advantage is being able to articulate what the advancement path looks like for analysts," Troy said. "Tech companies tend not to focus on job titles and have flatter organization structures, and that's part of the appeal. But for someone who really wants to know what they'll be doing in two, four years, recruiting websites will tell you how long it takes you to make partner."

Engineering and IT students also named Google as the most attractive employer on Universum's survey. Other companies among the top 10 include Microsoft, Apple, BMW, GE, IBM and Intel.

While these are consistent with past surveys, one industry climbing the ranks is consumer packaged goods, or CPGs, like Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Nestle and L'Oreal. These companies have begun to emphasize their values over the products they churn out.

"Millennials want to be part of a bigger purpose and give back," Kutsop said. "Companies are talking about how you'll advance, training and development programs, rather than showcasing that Unilever owns Ben & Jerry's and Dove."


Monday, June 22, 2015

How To Stop Working All The Time And Get More Done

The always-on, sleep-with-your-smartphone ethic is so pervasive that last week Goldman Sachs actually had to explicitly forbid interns from working all night long. Two years ago it gave its analysts the privilege of taking Saturdays off.

Surface moves like this, while laudable in intent, will do little to change the culture at elite, high-paying firms where the "best" workers put in absurdly long hours and are always available. Obsessive overachievers who are consistently rewarded for working a lot will just figure out workarounds.

"The intent is right but it doesn't work. It's a bit like saying you want to control the weather by telling the thermometer, 'don't go over 80 degrees,'" said Grant Freeland, a partner at Boston Consulting Group, which over the past few years has actually figured out a way for employees to work fewer hours -- not by using a blunt hammer like a work ban but by deeply examining how people work and facilitating conversations about how to do it better.

Before I tell you how the Boston Consulting Group did it, you might be thinking: Who cares? These are the country's most well-paid workers -- total compensation for an entry-level consultant can reach six figures -- so why not let them work as much as they want?

But we can't just ignore this: Consultants and bankers set cultural norms in the business world. They work with a range of other companies. Their values spread. Recall that hard-charging investment bankers helped create "CrackBerry" culture, fueling the dawn of smartphone addiction for everyone. Basically, investment bankers are part of the reason your boss can email you at midnight.

The idea of rational work schedules is also of significance to a growing army of hourly workers who don't have predictable hours and whose managers and managers' managers don't seem to care. These people are not well-paid and can't afford round-the-clock childcare to accommodate their unpredictable schedules. Perhaps if corporate culture were to change at the upper-income levels, that change would spread, as well?

Boston Consulting started to change its ways more than a decade ago, when it began a research experiment with Harvard Business School professor Leslie Perlow. She was interested in finding out if work-life balance was even possible for the kind of overachievers who go into professions like consulting and investment banking -- Type As who need to be told not to work at 3 a.m.

Perlow and a team of researchers studied the Boston office of Boston Consulting for a year to figure out what kinds of work-life issues were making people miserable. She came back with a theory about how to get consultants to work less: Give them predictable time off. (Banning work in the middle of the night so they can sleep doesn't count.)

This was a radical theory to consultants. "They thought we were crazy. It was really hard for them," said Freeland, who worked with Perlow. "They cheated."

But after about five months, the consultants started to like this new world. They actually restructured the way they worked in order to make getting predictable time off possible. And that doesn't always mean one night off a week -- it could be an accommodation for a personal event like a child's recital.

They created processes that led to more productivity -- sharing responsibilities for certain aspects of a project, for example, so they could cover for each other. They also dropped work that was redundant or unnecessary.

In order to have a productive team where everyone gets a night off, they had to talk to each other a lot -- about how to work smarter and, crucially, about their personal lives.

"It was helpful to know that the reason the partner missed a meeting was that he was taking his daughter on a college tour," one consultant said, according to a piece that Perlow wrote in the Harvard Business Review. "I had never heard a partner talk like that before. My work is really important to me, too, but it is not the most important thing in my life. [His openness] made me comfortable to admit that."

The group's experiment was a success. Consultants rated themselves as more productive and they were doing less work. Fewer consultants quit the firm -- there was less burnout.

Boston Consulting has since expanded the project and now just about all of its 6,000 consultants participate in what they call PTO, or Predictability, Teaming and Openness.

Notably, Boston Consulting ties succeeding in this program to advancing within the firm: "If you want to be promoted, you have to have good upward feedback on this," Freeland said.

So far, though, not a lot of other companies have gotten the message on this.

"Occasionally, I will get calls from other firms to come and talk about this. The problem is: You talk to them and they're like, 'we'll stop working at midnight,'" Freeland said. "So I get kind of frustrated."

Goldman Sachs is obviously filled with smart people so it's certainly possible they'll figure out how to do more. A spokesman for the firm told The Huffington Post last week that the recent move is part of an ongoing process to improve the work experience of its junior bankers. The firm is also experimenting with new kinds of software to improve productivity, according to The New York Times.


Friday, June 19, 2015

What Happens If Greece Defaults On Its Debts?

As negotiations between Greece and its creditors continue to fail to produce a bailout deal, the Greek central bank warned on Wednesday that the nation could start down the path to leaving both the euro and the European Union if it defaults on its debts.

Greece owes the International Monetary Fund 1.6 billion euros by the end of June. The IMF says it will allow no grace period, although it has occasionally done so for debtors in the past. Most likely, if Greece cannot secure an agreement with the so-called "troika" of creditors -- the IMF, the European Central Bank and the European Commission -- it will be unable to make the payments, 7.2 billion euros in bailout aid won't be released and the country will go into default immediately.

While both sides wish to avoid such an outcome, the talks seem to be at loggerheads. Greece's left-wing Syriza government stands opposed to harsh spending cuts while the troika demands the government make more internal reforms.

The specter of a Greek exit from the euro, sometimes called the "Grexit," has loomed over this year's bailout talks, just as it did in previous years of debt negotiations. However, as the deadline approaches, observers have started analyzing what will actually happen if the country does default on its debt.


Two men walk under graffiti on a billboard in Athens. (AP Photo/Petros Giannakouris)

There are multiple scenarios that could occur in the event that no deal is reached. Many economists and financial writers predict that the effects on Europe would be bad, but not nearly as harmful as what would happen within Greece itself.

WHAT COULD HAPPEN TO GREECE?

1. Default without exiting the euro.

Despite the Greek central bank's warning that a default could force the country to give up the euro and leave the eurozone (the group of nations that use the currency), that wouldn't automatically be the case.

If Greece defaults, the ECB will need to decide whether to continue authorizing emergency lending to Greek banks or to pull the plug altogether, Reuters notes. Should the ECB continue lending, Greek banks could stay afloat for a little while.

This default-without-exit plan, The Wall Street Journal explains, could give Greece more time to reach a bailout deal, or might simply mitigate the consequences of an immediate default.

2. Greece leaves the euro and adopts its former currency.

An obstacle to the emergency lending is that Greece has more big payments approaching in July, which it doesn't have the money to pay. If the ECB decides to cut off lending and the country runs out of money, Greece would likely be forced to abandon the euro and print its own currency.

In this event, the country might return to the drachma, its old currency.

Experts fear that this move could cause a bank run, in which citizens take euros out of their accounts en masse before the euros can be converted to drachmas. This hasty withdrawal would damage Greek financial markets and cause capital to flee the country, Reuters notes. Actually, a slow-motion version of this has already been taking place, with Greek bank deposits hitting a 10-year low earlier this year.

To make these bank runs less likely in the event of a return to the drachma, Greece could institute capital controls in an attempt to limit the amount of money that could be transferred out of the country. It's not known exactly how this would work in Greece, but a recent Bloomberg article explained that Cyprus instituted comparable policies during its financial crisis. These included daily caps on ATM withdrawals and limits on the amount of money Cypriots could take while traveling and on how much they could send abroad.

Some economists, like Paul Krugman, see a long-term upside to defaulting and switching to the drachma. They argue that Greece could devalue its currency and begin an export-based recovery, as well as restore funding to social programs. On the other hand, these economists ackowledge, European creditors would lose out on payments they would get if Greece remained in the eurozone.


Protesters holding national flags take part in an anti-austerity rally in front of the parliament in Athens on Wednesday. (AP Photo/Yorgos Karahalis)

3. Greece leaves the euro and starts a parallel currency.

Another potential scenario is that instead of reverting to the drachma, Greece could start a parallel currency to the euro that it could print and use to pay government workers' salaries. This would free up euros with which Greece could pay its international creditors, with the new currency acting as a kind of IOU from the government to its citizens.

The problem is that the government needs to be able to convince Greeks that it will actually honor these IOUs. The parallel currency could also be perceived as a kind of "Disneyland" money that's good within Greece but not accepted under the same terms as the euro. Or the notes could be printed in excess, which would devalue the currency, Bloomberg notes.

4. Greece leaves not only the eurozone, but the European Union as well.

There is also the question of whether Greece could ultimately exit the European Union if it defaults, as the Greek central bank suggested. Martin Schulz, president of the EU parliament, told The Guardian on Wednesday that dropping out of the eurozone would also mean leaving the EU.

But it's not clear how that would transpire without a legal mechanism to give Greece the boot: Under current EU treaties, there's no process for kicking a country out of the union. Although states can leave voluntarily, the majority of Greeks want to stay.


Greek Finance Minister Yianis Varoufakis listens to Greece's prime minister at the Greek Parliament in Athens on June 16, 2015. ( LOUISA GOULIAMAKI/AFP/Getty Images)

WHAT COULD HAPPEN TO EUROPE?

1. Financial contagion.

The European Union worried in previous "Grexit" scares that if Greece left the euro, French and German banks that had lent funds to Greece would be threatened. There was also concern about default spreading via a domino effect of sorts: Markets in weak eurozone economies would be spooked by the ECB letting Greece default, resulting in bank runs in nations like Portugal, Ireland and Italy. Fearing a currency devaluation, companies might be compelled to withdraw huge amounts of capital from these countries, thereby causing further economic crisis.

In this round of negotiations, however, there is less worry about this possibility. The EU has set up the European Stability Mechanism rescue vehicle, which seeks to provide a bulwark for weak economies that could be affected by a Grexit, according to The New York Times. Also, Greece mostly paid off the French and German banks with its first bailouts, The Washington Post notes. Greece now owes the majority of its debt to European governments, meaning that a default, while harmful, wouldn't destroy these countries' broader economies.

European banks are also doing better than they were during the last round of negotiations, with regulatory measures and increased capital designed to withstand stress, the Times notes.

2. The end of a political project

A more serious way in which the default could hurt Europe has to do with the desire to preserve the eurozone as a political project. European leaders have tried for five years to keep Greece part of the eurozone, and as Germany's Der Spiegel explains, it would be seen as a disaster if all that time and effort were for nothing.

Greece would be the first country to leave the euro, and its departure would be a huge blow to the idea of the eurozone as a project for prosperity in a united Europe. The BBC notes that a Grexit could benefit anti-EU political groups and shake the sense that the euro was permanent.

3. A poor precedent

Greece leaving the euro could also set a precedent for other nations to leave in the future.

Portugal is a candidate for a similar outcome, as it also faces its own debt crisis. The country's prime minister, Pedro Passos Coelho, has denied that Portugal would be next if Greece is to go.

Wealthier nations like Germany also fear that if Greece succeeds in receiving a bailout without making the spending cuts that creditors demand, a precedent would be set in which countries could threaten to leave the eurozone in exchange for receiving loans.


Thursday, June 18, 2015

Big Banks' Mortgage Units -- Still Failing Customers -- Face New Restrictions

Remember that time the nation's largest banks engaged in fraud and deceptive lending to fuel Wall Street's insatiable appetite for dodgy investments backed by home mortgages?

Remember how in the aftermath of the economic collapse, after the banks received massive taxpayer bailouts, some of the same financial institutions totally botched the handling of an epochal wave of foreclosures that their actions had helped to bring about? And how untold thousands of people lost their homes as a result? And how federal regulators chose to ignore warnings about the looming crisis, then looked the other way as mortgage companies misapplied homeowner payments, lost piles of paperwork, and generally made it next to impossible for borrowers to take advantage of (flawed) government-sponsored refinancing programs meant to stem the tide of foreclosures?

Perhaps you recall that as part of a legal deal struck in 2011 with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, more than a dozen major mortgage companies paid supposedly independent auditors to review the foreclosure documents of aggrieved borrowers?

This is all ringing a bell, right?

How about that time the OCC abruptly scrapped the whole program amid cost overruns and allegations of bank employees interference?

Were you, perchance, aware that a key condition of that 2011 legal agreement required the mortgage companies to overhaul how they "service," or manage, home loans, to prevent a return to those abuses?

Sure, you've been paying attention.

But did you know that 99.7 percent of all checks that the banks mailed to consumers as part of a subsequent settlement were for $6,000 or less?

So then would you be at all surprised to learn that now, four years later, some of the key players still haven't lived up to the terms of the deal, and homeowners are still suffering as a result?

No? Me neither.

On Wednesday, the OCC announced that six banks that manage home loans -- EverBank, HSBC, JPMorgan Chase, Santander Bank, U.S. Bank and Wells Fargo -- haven't implemented all the reforms they promised to make as part of the 2011 deals.

As punishment, the regulator has imposed new restrictions on the banks' mortgage departments, limiting their ability to acquire residential servicing rights in some circumstances, and forcing them to seek OCC approval before hiring senior officers in their mortgage servicing and compliance departments.

The restrictions vary, with Wells Fargo and HSBC strictly prohibited from certain types of new business acquisition, while the other banks must first seek OCC approval.

Wells Fargo, the OCC said in a new consent order, "continues to engage in unsafe and unsound practices." Among the bank's points of "noncompliance," the regulator said in regulator-speak, is its failure to ensure "effective communication with borrowers, both oral and written."

According to the OCC, Wells Fargo still has yet to ensure that each borrower is matched with a single customer service representative at the bank to handle their modification request or foreclosure -- a basic first step to ending the cycle of confusion, lost paperwork and endless hours on the phone that many homeowners have endured while speaking with a succession of uninformed bank employees.

Mike Heid, the president of Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, said in a statement that the bank has "implemented significant changes to our mortgage servicing operations and achieved compliance with major elements of the original Consent Order."

"We will continue to work with the OCC to address the remaining items, and we have an action plan in place to complete that work in the coming," Heid's statement said.

In response to a question about assigning customers to single points of contact, a bank spokesman said that Wells Fargo began that process in 2010, and that the bank is now "waiting on final validation of recent changes we made in response to new direction provided by the OCC late in 2014."

In the original consent orders, the mortgage companies agreed to 98 separate "actionable items," or reforms, related to how they service loans. Of the banks called out Wednesday by the OCC for not meeting this pledge, HSBC apparently has the farthest to go.

The bank failed to implement 45 reforms, the OCC said, including those that address more than a dozen procedural failings related directly to how it manages customer accounts.

Did you know that HSBC's procedures for handling consumer complaints; for ensuring payments are promptly applied; for making sure the bank isn't foreclosing at the same time it's helping with a mortgage modification; for training staff to handle mortgage delinquencies; for communicating with borrowers about loan modification requests "within a reasonable period of time" before a foreclosure sale is commenced -- were all found lacking by the OCC?

"We are actively addressing the remaining issues, and we will continue to work closely with the OCC to ensure we fully comply with all requirements of the order," said HSBC spokesman Rob Sherman.

And if you need some positive news to hold on to until the next quiz: Citibank and PNC Bank received passing grades from the regulator, and the 2011 consent orders were terminated.


Wednesday, June 17, 2015

Twitter Is The Best Job Search Tool You're Not Using -- Here's How You Can

Sarah Alvarez got her first job after tweeting about Nutella.

She was studying abroad in France in 2012 when she saw that Shout PR, a retail and lifestyle marketing firm, had blogged and tweeted about a healthier alternative to the beloved hazelnut spread. Alvarez tweeted about the article and thanked the firm for posting it, and she later mentioned that Twitter conversation when she emailed the company about summer internships.

Shout had her come for an interview two days after she got back to the U.S. -- and it hired her as an intern.

“Because of the way I reached out, they took a look at my social media profile,” said Alvarez, now an account executive at the communications agency Bite. “I interviewed with the person who had written the blog post, and she was very excited that I’d been engaging with her content.”

It’s easy to get overwhelmed by the barrage of Twitter noise -- and to favor LinkedIn instead as a professional social media tool. But if you don’t look closely at Twitter, you could be missing out on some crucial job and networking opportunities.

Twitter offers a strong network of people in various fields, and companies and hiring managers are increasingly sharing open positions on their accounts.

“It offers less structure as a job search tool, but more opportunities to connect with people,” said Pamela Skillings, an interview coach and founder of Big Interview, a job coaching program. “You can stumble on an opportunity that you might not otherwise find.”

Here are some tips to get the most out of your Twitter job hunt:

Spruce up your profile

First, think of your Twitter profile as your brand: Include an identifiable photo, so recruiters recognize who you are.

And don’t underestimate that bio under your picture. “Your bio is your elevator pitch,” said Alyson Weiss, a social media coach. “It’s your first chance to make an impression before people decide to click on you.”

In addition, Skillings recommends including your Twitter handle on your resume. “You’re giving people the ability to find you, and it shows a level of transparency."

Start following and strike up a conversation

The next step is to follow companies, recruiters, publications, job forums and industry leaders. Most brands don’t have a lot of repeat engagement from individual users, which means you can stand out from the crowd if you retweet, favorite and reply to tweets in meaningful ways, experts say.

“Just join the conversation,” said Ashley Stahl, a career coach to millennials. “Find out who your potential boss would be, retweet them and reply to their tweets.”

Too often, however, people don’t think of Twitter as a networking opportunity.

“Twitter wasn’t branded as a professional network like LinkedIn, but that doesn’t mean it has to be only personal,” said Weiss. “We don’t compartmentalize our real lives as professional versus personal.”

Once you build up a personal conversation with a recruiter or manager, it’s easier to direct message them to ask about connecting outside of Twitter or in person.

Sometimes, managers don’t even have an official job posting. Christa Freeland, now the marketing manager at the venture capital firm Powershift, found a job in 2011 at Journyx, a software company, when she started following an employee there who would later be her boss. When she saw he'd tweeted about an open social media marketing role, Freeland immediately applied for the position.

“My boss was very smart about it,” Freeland said of his search for the perfect candidate, adding that the company didn’t actively promote the position anywhere else but on its social media accounts. “It was about finding a marketing person through social media.”

Make lists to narrow in on interesting companies

One way to sort through Twitter is to create a list for target companies, Weiss suggests.

“It’s overwhelming with so much content, since you turn around for a second and you have 200 missed tweets,” she said. “With a list, you can see job opportunities from specific companies.”

You can set your list to public or private, and add as many users to it as you like. Clicking on a list gives you a timeline of tweets from just those individuals and companies.

Use search tools

You can use Twitter’s built-in search bar for job openings: Type in a location, “hiring” and seniority level (like “entry level” or “director”), and you’ll likely see tweets about open positions in your desired area.

There are also job search engines specifically for Twitter, like Tweetmyjobs.com, which allows users to add in filters by location, industry and keyword.

Hiring managers are more frequently combing Twitter for applicants, particularly in fields where social media acumen might be considered a qualification for a job, like in HR and communications. Other industries -- like nonprofits and academia -- are starting to boost their Twitter presence too, Skillings said.

Charlie Loyd, who creates cloudless satellite imagery at Mapbox, found his job after tweeting at five mapping companies and including a link to his portfolio. Mapbox responded in three minutes.

"I was frustrated, and I wanted to get this in front of someone," Loyd said. "And there was no formal submission process for, 'Hey, I'm doing work that you haven't done before.'"

Do your research

It’s important to stay up-to-date on recent business developments. If a company you follow recently received a large grant, for example, that might hint at a more aggressive round of hiring.

If you have an important interview coming up, experts agree it’s important to look up your interviewer and potential managers ahead of time. Their recent tweets could be clues about what topics they’re interested in and what the company culture is like.

“It’s a good small-talk opener,” Stahl said. “You can ask, ‘Did you see the news about subject X?’ You’re opening the interview in a knowledgeable way and putting yourself on equal standing with the hiring manager.”

Let's recap. Here is an easy list of steps you can take to become a pro at using Twitter for job searches:

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Monday, June 15, 2015

Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff Steps On Persistent Theory About Startups

Marc Benioff just burst Mark Cuban’s bubble.

While the billionaire Dallas Mavericks owner and some other financial pundits believe that recent outsized valuations for startups are a sign that another dot-com bubble is forming, Salesforce CEO Benioff disagrees.

“I don’t think there’s a bubble,” Benioff said in a recent interview with CNN. “There’s a huge amount of innovation that has happened in Silicon Valley that is getting monetized.”

This puts the current market in stark contrast to that of 2000, when the dot-com bubble burst, sending stocks prices plummeting and closing down some prominent early Internet companies. The poster child for the dot-com era’s excesses was Pets.com, which spent more money on shipping than it earned selling discounted pet food.

By contrast, ride-hailing app Uber, lodging service Airbnb and cloud storage startup Dropbox -- all of which are private firms with high valuations -- earn money.

Pundits like Cuban -- who argued in March that the market is in a worse bubble than in 2000 -- aren't convinced yet. But Benioff in his interview with CNN explained the difference between then and now.

"These are real companies with very significant revenue streams," he told CNN of Uber, Airbnb and Dropbox. “This is very different than 2000 because those companies in 2000 did not see revenue levels at the high level that we’re seeing with these new companies. ”

Benioff isn’t alone in his no-bubble view. In April, venture capitalist Tony Tjan pointed to the significantly smaller number of public offerings today than during the dot-com bubble -- indicating that businesses are developing mature revenue models before issuing shares. In 2000, 446 companies went public, compared to 275 last year, according to the market research firm Renaissance Capital. So far this year, just 78 firms have gone public.

“Back then, you’d have companies trying to do everything as crazy as sell 99-cent pet food in a $20 FedEx box and think that was a good business,” Tjan, managing director of the Boston-based VC firm Cue Ball Capital, told The Huffington Post in April. “You have a greater rationality and maturation of the business models, and a greater understanding of what’s going on.”

To be sure, both Tjan and Benioff have good reason to convince folks that there's no startup bubble: Benioff has invested in 59 startups, according to CrunchBase; Tjan's portfolio includes the commenting service Livefyre, legal data firm Lex Machina and the real estate analytics site SmartZip.


Saturday, June 13, 2015

Jack Dorsey Won't Say Whether He'll Be Twitter's Permanent CEO

Jack Dorsey refused on Friday to say whether he would stay on permanently as Twitter’s chief executive.

The company's chairman and co-founder -- who will take over as interim CEO on July 1 when Dick Costolo steps down -- dodged questions about whether he would consider keeping the job.

“I’m not going to answer that question because it’s not what I’m focused on,” he said during an appearance on CNBC's "Squawk Box." “My job is to make sure we continue without cadence and amplify.”

Dorsey, who served as the first of Twitter’s three CEOs so far, already holds the top spot at Square, a mobile payment company he founded in 2009. When Twitter announced on Thursday that Costolo -- pilloried by investors over the company’s weak financial performance and slowing user growth -- would move into a boardroom role, Dorsey said he would lead a team to find the next chief executive. Some floated Adam Bain, the company’s head of revenues, as a likely contender.

But Dorsey told analysts on Thursday evening that he and the three other board members helming the search committee had not yet retained a headhunting firm to look for candidates.

That may be, as Business Insider’s Henry Blodget suggests, because Twitter plans to have Dorsey return permanently. The interim period could serve as a trial run and allow Dorsey to slowly exit some of his other responsibilities, perhaps even his C-suite job at Square, Blodget wrote.

Square spokeswoman Colleen Murray referred The Huffington Post to a press release in which Dorsey says he "will continue to lead" the company. Twitter did not respond to a request for comment.

But Dorsey’s beard seemed to distract viewers from the question of Twitter’s future. His scraggly facial hair quickly became a trending topic on -- take a guess -- Twitter.

After a commercial break, CNBC’s David Faber asked whether the beard symbolized something about Dorsey's leadership style. Dorsey laughed and said he hadn't been expecting that question.

“People shouldn’t be measured by what they look like,” he said.

That seems to be a philosophy he has carried with him from his years, lest anyone forget his nose ring and spiky blue hair.

This post has bee updated with a comment from Square.


Friday, June 12, 2015

Focusing On Women's Advancement Blinds Companies To Their Real Problem: Overworking Everyone

By focusing on “women’s issues,” professional firms are in denial about their real problem: a culture of unnecessary, 24/7 work that makes everyone miserable.

Those are the findings of an exhaustive 18-month case study of one prestigious global consulting firm, reported in a yet-to-be published paper from Harvard’s Gender Initiative program that was recently shared with The Huffington Post.

The paper blasts away at two closely held gender stereotypes. One portrays mothers as more invested in family responsibilities than their work roles. Another assumes working fathers are fully committed breadwinners, free from the pull of family life.

The researchers found that these assumptions held women back in their careers, prevented men from finding more balance and kept the firm from understanding that everyone struggles when working long hours -- not just females.

There’s a myth that “women can’t do it, but men can. That’s not true,” said Robin Ely, a co-author on the paper and a professor at Harvard Business School who chairs the Gender Initiative.

“Virtually everyone -- women and men alike -- suffered from the competing pulls of work and family,” Ely and researchers Irene Padavic of Florida State University and Erin Reid of Boston University wrote in a summary of the paper.

The unnamed consulting firm reached out to Ely, who is known for her research on gender in the workplace, out of frustration. Despite efforts to put more flexible policies in place, women weren’t advancing. Ninety percent of partners and 63 percent of junior associates were men. The number of years it took to reach partnership were fewer for men than women.

Ely and her co-researchers interviewed 107 consultants and five human resource staffers at the firm, and found everyone suffering under the expectation to work long hours. “People here are probably doing 14, 15 hours of work a day,” one consultant said in the paper. “Your ability to get by on little sleep is a necessary skill set.”

Some were working 70 hours a week. “Such hours made it difficult to meet basic physical needs,” the researchers wrote.

Men and women reacted differently to the problem, through the lens of those two stereotypes mentioned earlier.

Because it was assumed that women want to spend more time with family, the researchers found that the firm's senior female partners were criticized in the interviews as bad mothers. “We heard not one positive comment about women partners as mothers, but many negative comments from both men and women,” the researchers wrote. Male partners' roles as fathers did not come up for criticism in the same way.

Fearing becoming “bad mothers” like those partners, junior female associates took less demanding roles and wound up losing out on promotion possibilities.

(By the way, those women weren't "bad mothers" -- they said they had flexibility as a partner to be home when they wanted to.)

When women left the office early at the firm, coworkers assumed they had family obligations. Or the women would explicitly tell others they were leaving to tend to a family need because, in part, they didn't want to be seen as bad mothers, Ely said. This all contributed to the view that the women were less-than-ideal workers.

When men left early, the assumption was that they were networking or going out for work-related drinks or dinner. The men also typically didn’t explain where they were going.

Meanwhile, men’s issues with overwork were kept under wraps. Many either suffered in silence or pretended to work 24/7 while tending to family needs on the sly. Those findings were first reported in a paper by Boston University’s Reid earlier this year.

In interviews, both men and women consultants said that the pull of family responsibilities took women off the partner track and forced them to quit. Yet the researchers found men and women left the firm at the same rate. This was masked in part because many partners were hired from outside the firm and tended to be male, and because many women never made it to partner and stalled out at the associate level.

In fact, men left the firm out of frustration with quality of life. Says one father in the paper: “I wouldn’t characterize myself as unhappy. It’s more overworked, and under-familied ... I’d bet that a year from now I’m working somewhere else.” He quit one year later, the paper says.

Worse, a lot of the work was a waste of time, the researchers found. The consulting firm's culture was one of over-preparedness, and many consultants said they had pulled unnecessary all-nighters working on presentations. In the end, they provided clients with way more material than would ever be wanted or even useful.

"When we asked why they did it, they’d say, 'That’s how you prove how smart you are,'" Ely said.

According to Ely, when she and her co-researchers presented their findings to the firm, they didn't want to hear it. The leaders wanted to talk about the company's problems with women, not bigger, harder-to-tackle cultural issues.

"They said, 'Maybe you didn’t talk to enough people,'" Ely said. "But we talked to a lot of people. We said, 'Look this is a pervasive finding.' It wasn’t like they were hostile, but basically the project ended at that point."

The researchers theorize that the partners' commitment to a set line of thinking about men as ideal workers and women as ideal mothers contributed to their denial.

Ely said that normally a second phase of research would’ve involved experimenting with the hours the consultants worked and measuring productivity and happiness. Similar research happened a few years ago at the Boston Consulting Group, which experimented with enforced time off for consultants and found that it resulted in happier workers -- and better performance. Ely said more work needs to be done to figure out whether dealing with the overwork problem would alleviate the burden of those gender stereotypes. That would take a long time to see, she said.

The paper also takes care to note that the issues faced by this firm are typical of higher-income, professional employees. For lower-wage workers, the problem usually isn’t too many hours, but rather the unpredictability of their schedules or the scramble to grab enough hours a week to make it to full time.

Still, these set stereotypes about men and women aren't limited to white-collar workers, Ely said. “The gender expectation around work and family has been around since the Industrial Revolution. That’s the way it’s been.”




Tuesday, June 9, 2015

Why Greece Is Not Leaving The Eurozone, Despite Its Latest Defiant Move

Greece's announcement Friday that it would postpone the latest 300 million euro repayment it owes the International Monetary Fund until the end of June has prompted a flood of doubts about Greece's future in the Eurozone.

But ominous warnings notwithstanding, a lot more would need to happen before Greece would leave the European monetary union. While key differences remain between Greece and its international creditors regarding the terms of the bailout needed to keep the country afloat, the negotiations are far from over. And experts say that both sides are concerned enough about the unknown consequences of a Greek departure that it remains a highly unlikely scenario.

Below is a primer on the latest drama between Greece and its creditors and some context for people lost in the sea of acronyms, foreign leaders and euro signs.

What exactly happened this week between Greece and its creditors?

Greece's announcement means that instead of making its scheduled payment of 300 million euros June 5, Greece will instead bundle the four installment payments it owes the IMF for the month of June into a single payment of 1.6 billion euros at the end of the month.

Greece's postponement is the latest in a series of chess moves between the country's left-wing government and the so-called troika of creditors comprised of the IMF, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the European Commission, the government body representing the 19 Eurozone countries. On Tuesday, the troika issued a joint proposal to make available to Greece the remaining 7.2 billion euros previously-promised in bailout loans in exchange for a series of fiscal reforms. Since 2010, the IMF, the ECB and Eurozone member nations have provided Greece with loans amounting to 240 billion euros.

But Greece had submitted its own debt restructuring plan to its European creditors Monday, and Tuesday's proposal from the troika did not accommodate many of Greece's demands. As a result, it was received coldly by Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and may have prompted Greece’s announcement Friday. Tsipras, head of the left-wing Syriza party, was elected in January on a platform of renegotiating the terms of Greece's international bailout in order to provide relief to the struggling Greek economy and restore funding for social programs.

Is Greece finally about to leave the Eurozone?

In response to the news that Greece would be postponing its IMF repayments, press reports were filled with doom-and-gloom pronouncements that this was finally the beginning of a “Grexit,” or Greek exit from the Eurozone. An exit would happen if Greece decided the terms of its international bailout were not worth the costs and that defaulting on its debt and readopting the drachma, its pre-Euro currency until 2001, was its best option. Economists are divided about how well an exit would work for Greece, but most agree it would be a devastating blow to the viability of the Eurozone project.

If Greece leaves the Eurozone, it would have to create a new currency overnight, which would probably cause serious market tremors and force it to stave off a run on its financial institutions. But it would allow Greece to devalue its currency, boosting exports and enabling it to restore funding on social programs.

But two experts on the Eurozone crisis told The Huffington Post that a Grexit remains very unlikely, because the other Eurozone countries are too worried about the fallout from a Greek departure to insist on terms that would force Greece to abandon negotiations.

Nicolas Véron, a visiting fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a former French government advisor, described the week’s developments as political theatre intended to reassure domestic constituencies in both Greece and top Eurozone creditor countries like Germany.

“If you simplify it by saying the two main negotiators are Alexis Tsipras and [German chancellor] Angela Merkel, they need to find a deal, but each of them also needs to sell the deal to their constituents,” Véron said. “Many of us who look at the substance believe the two parties are not too far apart, but far apart in politics and how they can sell it. There are hardliners on both sides. Merkel and Tsipras are not hardliners in their respective camps.”

Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, characterized Greece’s Friday announcement as a genuine negotiating tactic aimed at securing more favorable terms than those the creditors had offered thus far.

“I think it shows the troika that the Greek government is serious, that the troika cannot just dictate the terms of an agreement,” Weisbrot said. “It is a real shot across the bow and it surprised them, too.”

Weisbrot believes that even if Greece defaulted, the troika of creditors would act to head off a Greek exit from the Eurozone. He cited as an example the case of Argentina, which defaulted on its debts to the IMF in 2003. But “the IMF backed down,” Weisbrot said. It reached a compromise with Argentina that included a new loan from the IMF on terms Argentina could accept in exchange for a debt repayment.

In Greece, “the IMF does not want a default either,” Weisbrot said.

In angry speech to the Greek parliament Friday, Tsipras nonetheless declared the two sides are “closer than ever” to reaching a deal.

What are the outstanding differences between the two sides?

In the dueling proposals from Greece and its creditors, a number of differences remain. A key sticking point is how much of a primary budget surplus, or budget surplus before interest payments, Greece should be required to achieve. The troika wants Greece to achieve a 3.5 percent primary budget surplus by 2018, while Greece maintains that anything more than a 1.5 percent primary budget surplus would prevent the Greek economy from growing at a healthy pace again. The troika is calling for Greece to achieve the budget targets partly through an increase in the value-added tax and cuts to pension benefits equivalent to 2 percent of Greece’s GDP, which Greece's ruling Syriza party finds unacceptable. And Greece is asking for half of the 144 billion euro principal it owes Eurozone member nations from the first bailout round to be cancelled entirely.

The seemingly arcane dispute is part of a broader conflict between Greece and the wealthy Eurozone nations that have shouldered the lion’s share of the bailout over who and what is to blame from the current crisis. Among the creditor nations, Germany in particular has argued that Greece's economic troubles are due to its fiscal irresponsibility. Germany has insisted that the bailout include provisions requiring Greece to reduce its spending and raise taxes, as well as deregulate the labor market and adopt anticorruption measures that would render the country more economically competitive.

Greece, for its part, claims that the austerity imposed by the international creditors has prevented the Greek economy from recovering, which has caused untold suffering and in turn made it impossible to repay the money it owes. Greece's GDP has declined by more than 25 percent since 2008; recovering slower from the 2008 crisis than the United States from the Great Depression, or Germany after World War II. Currently, one out of every three Greeks lives at or below the poverty line.

What happens next?

Since the IMF's managing director, Christine Lagarde, appears to have accepted Greece’s end-of-June payment bundling plan, the next major deadline is June 30. That date marks the end of the four-month extension passed in March to allow for the newly elected Greek government to negotiate new bailout terms with the troika. If the current agreement is again extended after June 30, though, the parties will have to contend with an even more onerous July repayment schedule. On July 13, Greece must pay another 465 million euros to the IMF. And on July 19 and 20, 3.5 billion euros that Greece owes the European Central Bank comes due. It is not clear that Greece has the funds to repay these debts and continue basic government functions.

Another possibility floated by some Greek officials is for Greece to have new snap elections that might reaffirm the Syriza-led government's mandate to renegotiate the terms of the bailout.

In the meantime, Tsipras is intent on pressuring the Eurozone countries in the court of public opinion.

"The strangulation of a country is a matter of moral order which conflicts with the founding principles of Europe," Tsipras said on Friday.

Correction: A previous version of this article misstated the reasons Greece might hold new elections. Snap elections might reaffirm the current government's mandate to renegotiate the terms of the bailout.


Friday, June 5, 2015

'Chipping Away At My Soul': Insiders Detail The Decline And Fall Of Corinthian's For-Profit College Empire

Tasha Courtright, a former Corinthian Colleges student, holds a sign at an April 2015 protest.

Dawn Lueck’s bosses were beaming. It was the height of the Great Recession, and hundreds of thousands of Americans were losing their jobs each month. But executives at her company, a network of for-profit universities branded as Heald Colleges, were ebullient.

“We knew we’d have more students coming in,” said Lueck, a former corporate finance manager for 12 Heald campuses. “They were thrilled.”

Heald, which was founded in 1863, counts governors, senators and A.P. Giannini, the co-founder of Bank of America, among its alumni. But in 2009, it became part of Corinthian Colleges Inc., a vast conglomerate that, at its height, served over 110,000 students at 120 campuses throughout North America.

The fortunes of for-profit colleges tracked the Great Recession in reverse: Corinthian’s stock price more than doubled between March 2008 and February 2009, just as unemployment spiked; enrollment increased more than 50 percent between fall 2008 and fall 2010. Widespread layoffs left people scrambling to acquire additional skills to compete in an impossible job market. And Corinthian recruiters sold prospective students on a dream: graduating college and ascending into the middle class, with career training that would pay off.

“They defrauded us, and we shouldn’t have to pay for it.”

In lawsuits, official complaints to state and federal regulators, sworn declarations submitted in Corinthian’s bankruptcy proceeding, and conversations with The Huffington Post, dozens of former Corinthian students and several former Corinthian employees said that Corinthian drowned students in debt and sent them off with meaningless diplomas that did not help -- and sometimes even harmed -- their job prospects. It illegally padded job placement statistics and gave students college credit for “externships” at fast-food restaurants. It charged students up to 10 times what a comparable community college degree would cost. More than 1 in 4 Corinthian graduates defaulted on their student loans, according to Education Department data. And for years, the Education Department not only failed to recognize the depths of the abuse, but effectively funded Corinthian’s business model, sending the company billions of dollars in financial aid to help cover students’ bills.

Corinthian’s top executives have denied wrongdoing. “Colleges like ours fill an important role in the broader education system and address a critical need that remains largely unmet by community colleges and other public sector schools,“ said Corinthian CEO Jack Massimino in a statement on the company’s website. ”Overall, our schools did a good job for the students they served.”

Amid the lawsuits and enforcement actions from state and federal regulators, Corinthian filed for bankruptcy in May -- the most spectacular in a series of for-profit college failures. By late April, the company had already sold or closed all its campuses. But students lured in by Corinthian have not received comprehensive loan relief, leaving them as the ultimate victims of the for-profit college bubble.

Now, a growing contingent of former students calling themselves the Corinthian 100 have refused to pay their debts, arguing that they were duped by a predatory lending scheme. Despite support for the debt strike from Democratic lawmakers and advocates, the Education Department has resisted demands for blanket loan relief.

“If I was dealing with people fraudulently, the government would take action against me,” said Catrina Beverly, a Heald College graduate from Concord, California, and a member of the Corinthian 100. “They defrauded us, and we shouldn’t have to pay for it.”

In 2008, Tasha Courtright visited the Everest College campus in Ontario, California, with a friend. She was not looking to pursue higher education. “The recruiter said, 'How about you? Do you want to go to school?'” Courtright recalled.

“I said I can’t afford it, I can’t do loans,” she remembered, noting that she was working a minimum-wage job at a gas station when Corinthian first recruited her. “They said, 'Let us do the numbers.' They said I qualified for Cal Grants and Pell Grants, and I wouldn’t have to pay anything.”

The recruiter called Courtright repeatedly for two days, pressuring her to make a decision. “They said classes were starting and ‘If you don’t do it now, you never will.’ So I went down again and signed up.” Courtright spent four years at Everest, earning a bachelor’s degree in applied business management. She said recruiters promised she wouldn’t pay a dime; she ended up with $41,000 in student debt.

High-pressure sales tactics like that were deliberately targeted at vulnerable demographic groups, including single mothers and the unemployed, according to Lueck, the former Corinthian manager. Recruits were often the first in their families to attend college. Almost anyone could qualify. Laurie McDonnell, a librarian at the Everest-Ontario Metro campus, resigned after learning that her school had enrolled a man who read at a third-grade level.

The goal was simple: profits. Smaller chains like Lincoln Tech or DeVry used to dominate the for-profit college industry. But toward the end of the last decade, larger, publicly traded companies took over. By 2009, three-quarters of all U.S. students enrolled in for-profit colleges were at schools owned by a corporate conglomerate or private equity firm. Goldman Sachs owns around 40 percent of Education Management Corporation, another operator of for-profit colleges.

Many for-profit college companies own multiple university brands. Corinthian, which traded on Nasdaq, ran Everest, Wyotech and Heald Colleges. The consolidation of the industry changed how for-profit schools operated, argues Elizabeth Baylor, senior investigator on a landmark 2012 Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee study of for-profits. “Student success was not the primary focus of the entity. It was returning investor value,” Baylor, who now works at the Center for American Progress, told HuffPost.

One-quarter of the average for-profit college budget goes to marketing and recruitment, Baylor said. The goal is to capture and retain students, and squeeze as much money out of them as possible. The 2012 Senate report found that Corinthian’s students defaulted on their loans at a rate that was “by far the highest of any publicly traded company” that investigators scrutinized.

Lueck explained that Heald would forecast higher annual enrollment targets for every campus across its network, putting pressure on recruiters to deliver. “You get students in, establish trust and a connection, and find out what their hot buttons are,” she said.

Some students wanted flexible schedules so they could raise their children; others wanted fast paths to a degree or assurances about future employment. “People reveal things about themselves without knowing it, and you use that to guide them,” Lueck said. “Everything is geared toward enrolling and retaining students. Morality takes a back seat, and you become part of the system.”

“Everything is geared toward enrolling and retaining students. Morality takes a back seat, and you become part of the system.”

Corinthian General Counsel Stan Mortensen responded by saying that 10,000 people worked for the company at its peak. “With that number of people, I’m sure you can find someone who will say almost anything,” he told HuffPost. He pointed to the 10,000 signatures on a Change.org petition supporting Heald Colleges and a handful of positive testimonials from Corinthian students and employees, who were “proud of the institutions they attended and worked for.” The petition was initiated by Eeva Deshon, the president and CEO of Heald.

In their sworn declarations submitted in Corinthian’s bankruptcy proceeding, students corroborated Lueck’s claims. They said Corinthian recruiters cited specific numbers of graduates who obtained jobs in their fields, typically over 80 percent. The recruiters identified starting salaries well above entry level and promised help with lifelong counseling and accreditation for specialized work. Campuses were adorned with photographs of smiling graduates at their new careers.

The financial aid process, in contrast to the pitch, was typically quick and vague, without even a clear explanation of how much classes cost. “They had the papers literally ready,” said Nathan Hornes, a high school dropout who moved to California from Columbia, Missouri, seeking a career in music. “They are so good at saying, 'Here’s what you need to punch in on the computer, let’s create a PIN, let’s do this.'” Hornes worked toward a GED and took business classes concurrently at Everest-Ontario Metro, eventually running up over $60,000 in debt, he told HuffPost and wrote in a sworn declaration.

According to Lueck, students signed an open-ended “master promissory note,” allowing the school to recertify new loan amounts every year. This would happen annually through a chaotic process known as repackaging, in which students would turn in financial information and the staff would shuttle them into new loans and grants. Corinthian students attracted huge amounts of financial aid money from the federal government: Close to 90 percent of the company's revenue, around $1.4 billion per year, came from taxpayers.

Financial aid officials told Frances Hutchison, a paralegal student at Everest-Ontario Metro, that she signed up for an “opportunity grant,” which would cost her $500 upfront (the "grant" was really a loan from the school to the student). She asked for proof that she had signed up and was given a form with an electronic signature of her name generated by a company called DocuSign. “I called DocuSign. They pulled up the email and IP address of who created that signature,” Hutchison told HuffPost. “The IP address was a computer located in Venice [California] associated with Corinthian.” DocuSign advised Hutchison to seek legal advice, she said. Corinthian did not directly respond when questioned about this, but said generally that former students had an “overwhelming positive experience.”

Just days before her school’s closure, Everest paralegal student Tiffany Contreras went to the financial aid office to settle an issue with her credits. According to her sworn declaration, the representative “said she was glad I came in because she needed to get me to sign new papers for the $500 loan to the school. She told me that the school had been repackaging students’ loans without their permission until it found out it could not do that.”

Lueck, the former corporate finance manager, said the loan process moved so rapidly that students may not have understood they were giving college staff permission to sign them up for numerous loans. Sarah Dieffenbacher, a criminal justice major, rang up over $110,000 in loans without ever earning a bachelor’s degree, she wrote in a sworn declaration. Officials would pull Dieffenbacher out of class during finals week to set her up for the next school year. “They told me to log into the computer loan account, and said words to the effect, ‘Just put in your password and we’ll handle the rest,’” she wrote.

Although most loans were federally issued, Corinthian also pushed some students into expensive private loans. The private loan program, known as Genesis, was designed for people with bad credit, according to Lueck. In a September 2014 lawsuit, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau alleged that Genesis loans carried interest rates double those of federal student loans and had to be partially paid back while students were still in school. Staffers would pull students out of class, and even withhold diplomas, to induce students to pay back Genesis loans, the CFPB claimed.

Still, 60 percent of those with Genesis loans defaulted within three years. “I never remember seeing a screen that clearly summarized the details of the loan,” Lueck said. As interest and late fees accrued, she said, students had trouble accessing information on their full loan balances.

Tasha Courtright claimed in both an interview and her sworn declaration that she was promised that Cal Grants, a California education aid program, would cover her tuition. “They said there was no way I would be denied,” Courtright said. “They neglected to tell me I didn’t qualify for Cal Grant until I took 36 credits because I was out of high school too long.” Even then, Corinthian officials promised Courtright that the grants would be retroactively applied. “Then I got a Cal Grant letter. It said I can only use the grant for future classes.” Everest would also hoard Courtright’s grant money, delaying disbursements for her living expenses for up to a year.

In interviews and legal filings, Corinthian students said they paid top dollar for what they characterized as a substandard classroom experience. Lueck said that Heald Colleges fired full-time teaching staff and used adjunct professors to teach classes in order to save money. At least one of Dieffenbacher's legal instructors had been disbarred, the criminal justice major claimed in a sworn declaration. One student said that final exams were “open-book.” Another, Nadia Akins, saw that a fellow student had the answers taped to the bottom of her shoe. “I reported this to the teacher, and the teacher kicked me out of the classroom,” Akins said in her legal declaration. Hornes described a classroom environment akin to summer camp.

“Several students felt like the coursework was too hard, but a junior high student could do what we were doing. A simple Google search could get the homework done,” Hornes said in an interview. “I had several finals where I was playing board games. I was thinking, 'Why am I going here? Are you kidding me, we’re playing Monopoly right now?'”

Students could also receive course credit through externships, unpaid positions in their fields that career services personnel often promised would lead to full-time work. After running up $26,000 in debt in one year of study, Catrina Beverly obtained an externship in medical office administration. “For four hours a day, on top of a 40-hour workweek, all I did was scan documents into the computer,” she said. “I went above and beyond, straightened up the office, so they’d want to hire me. At the end, I found out they would not consider me because I wasn’t fluent in Spanish.”

Nathan Hornes' school told him that his carhop job at fast-food chain Sonic qualified for course credit.

“My externship was a job I had for two years,” Hornes said. His school told him that the carhop job at fast-food chain Sonic qualified for course credit. “They started calling my manager, asking about getting people hired at Sonic. It’s a joke,” he added.

In response, Corinthian’s general counsel submitted testimonials from former students like Jenny Antonio, who said she enjoyed the “curriculum set for quicker development and readiness for employment in different fields.” Another former student, Tami Turner, wrote, “Without access to colleges like Heald, marginal groups will have little to no access to an education, and will continue to languish in low-wage, dead-end jobs, or worse.”

Aeyla Admire, a student at Everest College in Reseda, California, did an externship at an OB-GYN office. “I experienced unwelcome physical and sexual advances by the doctor,” Admire wrote in a sworn declaration submitted in the Corinthian bankruptcy proceeding. “When I complained to the case manager for my externship, she told me that I should not change my placement. ... She said that if I were to pursue the issue, it would look bad for me, and it would be very hard to find another job. She told me words to the effect that ‘all doctors are like that,’ and that they have the ‘education to do whatever they want.’” Aeyla eventually quit.

As Corinthian's enrollment expanded in the Great Recession, career services counselors were not equipped to handle the crush of graduates, and jobs were difficult to secure in a sluggish labor market. Appointments with career services would have to be made weeks in advance. Counselors forwarded students Craigslist ads.

Some Corinthian graduates learned that having the school on their resume was more of a hindrance than a help. Obsolete coursework bore little relation to the skills needed for employment. Several students described nightmare job interviews during which they realized they weren't prepared for the intended positions. One paralegal student, Isabel Carranza, panicked when she “realized that I did not learn anything that paralegals need to know,” according to a sworn statement in the bankruptcy case. While Corinthian colleges were accredited and eligible for federal financial aid, Carranza wrote that she belatedly learned her paralegal program was not on the American Bar Association's approved list, despite promises from Corinthian recruiters and promotional materials.

At best, potential employers had never heard of the colleges; at worst, they refused to accept them as legitimate. Once law enforcement began circling around Corinthian, the negative publicity became detrimental in the job market.

Hornes had an employer at a bank laugh in his face when he said he went to Everest, telling him he would never hire anyone from that school. “I’ve been told by three attorneys, 'If you came to me looking for a job with that degree, you can forget it,'” said Hutchison, the paralegal student who has $33,000 in outstanding loans. She said she only obtained her job as a legal secretary after taking Everest off her resume.

An Everest College campus in Alhambra, California, seen through the outer gates on April 27, 2015.

As the Education Department was pushing Corinthian to verify its job placement statistics, the company’s career counselors grew desperate. According to documents obtained by The Huffington Post in 2013 and cited by California Attorney General Kamala Harris and the CFPB in lawsuits, Corinthian paid temp agencies and employers to place graduates for short periods to pad their job numbers. Corinthian told HuffPost in 2013 that it rejected this allegation. The company’s then-spokesman, Kent Jenkins, pointed reporters to data showing that 69 percent of Everest students gained jobs in their field within 18 months of graduation and argued that paying companies to hire graduates was a “one-time-only initiative” at an Everest College campus in Decatur, Georgia. But Nathan Hornes and Dawn Lueck told HuffPost the practice was more widespread.

Catrina Beverly, who worked at a customer service call center before attending Heald College, recalled in an interview that she received an out-of-the-blue phone call from her career counselor months after graduating, asking if she had work or needed assistance. “He said, ‘How would you feel about a call center job?’ I’m like, that’s what I went to college to get away from!”

By 2014, Corinthian was in serious trouble. State attorneys general and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau filed complaints against Corinthian, and the Education Department fined the company $30 million for misrepresenting job placement rates to current and prospective Heald College students. The department also slowed financial aid disbursements to Corinthian, which had virtually no cash reserves. “When you looked at the profits during the peak enrollment period of 2008-2010, they didn’t save revenue for a rainy day,” said Baylor, the former Senate investigator. “They returned it to investors.”

The company’s executives did well, too. Massimino, the Corinthian CEO, earned $3 million in 2010, and four other executives made over $1 million that year. Between June 2013 and September 2014, the most recent period for which data are available, Corinthian insiders, including Massimino, sold 1.2 million shares of Corinthian stock worth over $400,000, according to the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

After selling off 56 campuses last fall to ECMC, a debt collector with no history of educating students, Corinthian shut down its remaining 30 schools on April 27 and filed for bankruptcy. “Corinthian did everything possible to try to sell our schools to responsible owners so that students would be able to continue their education,” said Mortensen, the general counsel.

“Who will hire someone from a school with a soiled reputation?”

Frances Hutchison had just graduated when she heard the news. “Who will hire someone from a school with a soiled reputation?” she asked. Other students were weeks away from degrees when their schools closed and may find it difficult to transfer Corinthian credits to legitimate colleges. Isabel Carranza hadn’t even opened the $380 worth of books she had bought for the upcoming school year. But she couldn’t return them.

Students have begun to fight back. Public Counsel, a pro bono law firm in Los Angeles, is one of three firms representing some 500,000 former Corinthian students with potential aggregate claims of $25 billion in Corinthian’s bankruptcy proceeding. “This is among the most egregious fraud that I in 25 years of practice have ever seen,” said Anne Richardson, associate director of the Opportunity Under Law section at Public Counsel.

Nathan Hornes, who now works at a Smashburger and said his commute is so long and costly that some days he can’t afford food, started calling friends from school even before the bankruptcy. “I started organizing. I had 130 students in three weeks. We had meetings in a coffee shop across the street,” he said. Hornes and Tasha Courtright started a Facebook group called the Everest Avengers and were among the first students to decide to go on a debt strike, refusing to pay back their loans. The Debt Collective, an organization that grew out of the Occupy Wall Street movement, contacted Hornes and Courtright, and created what is now the Corinthian 100. “More students are joining every day,” Hornes said.

Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) wants the Justice Department to hold Corinthian executives personally responsible for what transpired. “This is our money,” Durbin said on the Senate floor last month. “Hundreds of millions of dollars from taxpayers going to these rotten schools that are abusing children, leaving them deeply in debt and then going out of business.”

Nathan Hornes now works at a Smashburger and said his commute is so costly that some days he can’t afford food.

Under the federal Higher Education Act, students whose colleges close or who are victims of fraud by those schools may petition to have their loans forgiven. The Corinthian 100 want to extend that benefit to all students taken in by Corinthian. But the Education Department has been hesitant to allow blanket forgiveness or even implement a “defense to repayment” process, hinting instead at a plan in which individual students would have to prove they were defrauded. Yet the department has already fined Corinthian $30 million for misleading students with bogus job placement statistics. “It makes me sick to my stomach,” said Courtright. “They already have the proof or they wouldn’t have fined them.”

Courtright, who is hesitant to marry her fiancé because she fears he will get saddled with her debt, has met with Education Department officials on two occasions to press for comprehensive debt relief for Corinthian students. “We are the ones who had our lives destroyed by Corinthian,” she said. “There are students I personally know who are going to be homeless with their children. If I didn’t live in low-income housing, I would be homeless. Nobody in the government appears to have the students' interests at heart.”

The Education Department and CFPB negotiated $480 million in debt relief on private Genesis loans, but most of those loans are in default and have been deemed uncollectible. Granting relief to all Corinthian students would cost billions, which has made the government leery. Education Department officials have even pressured students at Corinthian campuses that were closed to transfer to other for-profit colleges. But “students deserve those protections” from fraud, said Baylor of the Center for American Progress. “You can’t turn around and say that this outstanding student loan debt is too much to write off.”

Heald laid off Dawn Lueck in 2012. She now volunteers with the Debt Collective, helping former Corinthian students understand their loan situations. Like many for-profit college employees, Lueck had also been a customer. She holds degrees from the University of Phoenix and ITT Tech, where she started working at the front desk when she was 18.

“It worked for me, and I really wanted to believe in it,” Lueck said. “When you’re meeting with these students, you want to believe what you’re telling them is the truth. ... When I left there, they had literally started chipping away at my soul.”